Metric | United States | China |
---|---|---|
Broad money (M2) | $21.76 trillion (Mar 2025) FRED | ¥326 trillion ≈ $45 trillion (Mar 2025) Trading Economics |
Population, 2025 | 341.1 million Census.gov | 1.424 billion Macrotrends |
U.S.: $21.76 T ÷ 341.1 M ≈ $63,800 per resident
China: ¥326 T ÷ 1.424 B ≈ ¥229,000 per resident, which converts to ≈ $31,800 at ¥7.2 =CNY/USD
Global Reach vs. Domestic Base
Roughly 60 % of official FX reserves and a majority of trade invoices are still denominated in USD, so a large share of dollars circulates outside U.S. borders. The yuan remains mostly domestic, despite a gradual rise in cross-border settlements. Per-capita figures therefore overstate U.S. residents’ liquidity and understate China’s domestic share.
Diverging Monetary Stances
Fed: Post-pandemic quantitative tightening and balance-sheet runoff have cooled dollar growth to ~4 %, below its long-run average.
PBOC: A consistent 7 % expansion supports credit growth and nominal GDP, but raises long-term questions about debt and asset prices.
Diversification Momentum
Central banks have nudged reserve allocations toward gold and “non-traditional” currencies, while private investors increasingly hold baskets that include yuan bonds, precious metals, and digital assets as hedges against U.S. fiscal risk and geopolitical tension.